During the electoral campaign, in this newspaper we explained that it was in the eight main towns that are located along the Eix Transversal where the duel between Aragonès and Borràs was to be decided.
A check on the opinion of the voters of these localities allows us to verify that, in effect, the difference between ERC and JxCat is now smaller, although the Republicans only awarded the ‘sorpasso’ to the post-convergent, and by the hair, in Lleida capital : Junts took two tenths from Esquerra in 2017 and now Esquerra, who grew, has taken 7 tenths from Junts, which decreased.
The hosts of Aragonès in Cervera were on the verge of overturning , where they reduced the advantage of JxCat from 11.5 to only 2.8 points, mainly because the Puigdemontistas fell 7 points compared to 2017. In Igualada both lost steam, but more Borràs, who dropped six points, so the Junts lead was cut in half and now stands at 4.7 points. Greater was the post-convergent fall in Mollerussa of up to nine points, which caused the distance over ERC to go from 16 to 6 points.
Manresa and Tàrrega repeated the same scheme, but with more contained descents from JxCat. In Girona capital , Junts’ advantage over Esquerra was three points lower than in 2017, although it is still very significant, at 15.4%.
Nothing compared, however, with the cushion that the Puigdemontistas have in Vic , a historic convergent bastion, where Aragonès left three points and Borràs, only two, with which the difference between the two forces climbed to 22 points.
The other scale that the electoral victory was going to decide was located in the Barcelona conurbation, among other things because it concentrated the highest percentage of undecided . The PSC regained the strength it had lost, but ERC advanced significantly and came second in 28 of the 36 towns in the metropolitan area, and ahead of the Socialists in two of them, Molins de Rei and Sant Cugat del Vallès .
The voting differences between Socialists and Republicans ranged between 3 points in Sant Vicenç dels Horts , the town of Oriol Junqueras, and 26 points in Santa Coloma de Gramenet , so the average difference was around 15 points. In the city of Barcelona , the distance in favor of the PSC was 4.5 points, when ERC had beaten it by 6.4 points in the 2017 elections.